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Will AI replace care workers? Live data

Care workers have no observed exposure measured AI exposure: Claude usage data covers about 0% of the tasks in this job that AI could in theory speed up. UK adverts are -7.0% year on year, and US postings in Indeed's Personal Care & Home Health category are +0.5%. Our ledger has no AI-attributed layoff events linked to this role yet.

AI exposure (observed)
0%
No observed exposure · like 54% of occupations, no measurable coverage
UK job adverts · ONS
30,524
Sep 2026 · -7.0% y/y (5 matched months)
UK postings · Indeed Personal Care & Home Health
65.9
Feb 2020 = 100 · +2.2% y/y
US postings · Indeed Personal Care & Home Health
150.5
Feb 2020 = 100 · +0.5% y/y

How exposed is this job to AI?

The score is Anthropic's observed exposure for US occupation Nursing Assistants (SOC 31-1131). It takes the tasks that a language model could theoretically speed up and measures how many are actually showing up in real work-related Claude usage, with fully automated use counting more than assistance.

LowestPosition among 756 occupationsHighest

Dashed line = top third. This occupation is not in the top third. Ranked #346 of 756.

Exposure is not job loss. Anthropic's March 2026 analysis found no systematic rise in unemployment for highly exposed workers since late 2022, with only tentative evidence of slower hiring of 22-25 year-olds into exposed jobs. Scores use US task data applied to UK roles via our mapping.

What the job involves

Provide or assist with basic care or support under the direction of onsite licensed nursing staff. Perform duties such as monitoring of health status, feeding, bathing, dressing, grooming, toileting, or ambulation of patients in a health or nursing facility. May include medication administration and other health-related tasks. Includes nursing care attendants, nursing aides, and nursing attendants.

O*NET 31.0 description for Nursing Assistants. 33 of 33 tasks have a task-level score.

Tasks where AI use is most visible

No tasks with observed AI coverage.

Core tasks with no observed AI use

  • Turn or reposition bedridden patients.
  • Answer patient call signals, signal lights, bells, or intercom systems to determine patients' needs.
  • Feed patients or assist patients to eat or drink.
  • Measure and record food and liquid intake or urinary and fecal output, reporting changes to medical or nursing staff.
  • Provide physical support to assist patients to perform daily living activities, such as getting out of bed, bathing, dressing, using the toilet, standing, walking, or exercising.

UK hiring: online job adverts

Monthly new online job adverts for UK SOC 2020 6135 Care workers and home carers + 6136 Senior care workers + 6131 Nursing auxiliaries and assistants. Year-on-year change compares the last six months with the same months a year earlier, using only months published in both years.

Source: ONS, Online job advert estimates (Textkernel), published 22 October 2026, OGL v3.0. Gaps are suppressed cells. Official statistics in development: Oct 2025-Feb 2026 and Jun-Sep 2026 partly imputed; March 2026 suppressed; Textkernel taxonomy updates cause step changes, so compare recent years with care.

Live postings: UK and US (Indeed)

Indeed's Personal Care & Home Health category index (covers more than this occupation).

Source: Indeed Hiring Lab job postings by sector, seasonally adjusted, 7-day average, to 16 Oct 2026. CC BY 4.0.

AI-attributed layoffs affecting related roles

None yet. That is not evidence of no impact - most job change happens through slower hiring, not announced layoffs.

Links between events and occupations are our editorial mapping, not company-stated.

What to do if you're one of the care workers

  1. Lean into the work AI isn't doing. In the usage data, core tasks such as "Turn or reposition bedridden patients" show no observed AI use. Building depth there is the most defensible part of the role.
  2. Watch hiring, not headlines. UK adverts for this role are down on a year ago, but compare with the wider market: all UK adverts are -3.4% on the same basis (dashboard). A fall that matches the whole market is a cycle, not an AI story.
  3. Check the claims. When a company says AI replaced jobs, look at its grade in our ledger - many announcements are mixed or AI-washed.

Data mapping for this page

US occupation (exposure, tasks)31-1131 Nursing Assistants
UK SOC 2020 (ONS adverts)6135 Care workers and home carers; 6136 Senior care workers; 6131 Nursing auxiliaries and assistants
Indeed categoryPersonal Care & Home Health
Mapping confidencelow The source exposure file has no score for US home health/personal care aides (31-1120); the closest scored US code, 'Nursing Assistants' (31-1131), is used. UK adverts sum 6135 care workers, 6136 senior care workers and 6131 nursing auxiliaries.

The US SOC → UK SOC 2020 crosswalk is a documented best-effort editorial mapping; see methodology.

Related occupations

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